Prediction of Ultimate Tensions in Mooring Lines for a Floating Offshore Wind Turbine Considering Extreme Gusts

The design of mooring line parameter for a floating offshore wind turbine (FOWT) should consider the ultimate limit state. Typhoons should be considered as a threatening condition for mooring design, and the characteristics of transient changing wind should be studied. Currently, few extreme value predictions consider gust features, and extreme mooring tensions may be underestimated in practical FOWT design. We conducted the simulations of the 5 MW wind turbine from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) in the environmental conditions of extreme gusts, waves, and currents. Extreme gusts were found to cause dramatic increases in mooring tensions under 100-year typhoon conditions. The average conditional exceedance rate (ACER) method is used to predict extreme mooring tensions. The impacts of simulation duration and sample size on the prediction results are then discussed. The results show that in extreme gust conditions, the tail data of the average conditional exceedance rate of mooring tension presents a different extrapolation trend from stable wind conditions. Short-term predicted values in gust conditions are 14–20% larger than those in stable wind conditions. The research shows the necessity of considering threatening gust conditions in the ultimate limit state design of mooring system of FOWT.